empty
28.04.2025 01:05 AM
British Pound. Weekly Preview

This image is no longer relevant

The British pound is doing even better than the euro. The market keeps finding additional reasons to increase demand for the pound, even when the euro remains stagnant. Therefore, even hoping for a corrective wave is extremely difficult. The wave pattern is rather formal since all movements now depend solely on Donald Trump. Currently, we should expect the formation of the third wave of the new upward trend segment, but how will the instrument behave if Trump starts canceling tariffs?

In the new week, there will be few economic reports from the UK, while all the main events will again be in the US. No reports are scheduled for Britain, whereas the US will release data on the labor market and unemployment. However, I would like to remind you that the latest unemployment and payroll reports (among the most important reports) did not provoke any significant market reaction. Therefore, I wouldn't be confident we will see market movements based on economic data this coming Friday.

I believe everything on the market will continue to revolve around Trump. Some of my readers are probably already tired of hearing about the American president every day, but unfortunately, this is the only factor that matters right now. There is little practical use in discussing the state of the American or British economy or monetary policy if they do not influence market sentiment. Last week, demand for the US dollar did not increase, and therefore, I do not expect a "miraculous resurrection" of the American currency in the new week unless some corresponding information comes from Trump.

This image is no longer relevant

Wave structure for EUR/USD:

Based on the analysis of EUR/USD, I conclude that the instrument continues to build a new upward trend segment. Donald Trump's actions reversed the previous downward trend. Therefore, the wave structure will entirely depend on the position and actions of the US president for the foreseeable future. It is essential always to keep this in mind. Based solely on the wave structure, I expected constructing a three-wave correction within wave 2. However, wave 2 has already been completed, taking a single-wave form. The construction of wave 3 of the upward segment has begun, and its targets may extend to the 1.2500 area ("the 25th figure"). Achieving these targets will depend solely on Trump, and the internal structure of this wave is already becoming rather "awkward."

This image is no longer relevant

Wave structure for GBP/USD:

The wave structure of the GBP/USD instrument has transformed. Now, we are dealing with an upward, impulsive trend segment. Unfortunately, under Donald Trump, markets may experience many shocks and reversals that do not conform to any wave structure or technical analysis. The supposed wave 2 has been completed, as quotes have exceeded the peak of wave 1. Therefore, the construction of an upward wave 3 should be expected, with immediate targets at 1.3345 and 1.3541. Ideally, it would be good to see a corrective wave 2 within wave 3, but the dollar would need to rise for that to happen. And for that, someone would have to start buying it.

Main principles of my analysis:

  1. Wave structures should be simple and clear. Complex structures are difficult to trade and often lead to changes.
  2. If there is no confidence in the market situation, it is better not to enter it.
  3. Absolute certainty in the direction of movement does not exist and never will. Always remember to use protective Stop Loss orders.
  4. Wave analysis can be combined with other types of analysis and trading strategies.
Chin Zhao,
Analytical expert of InstaTrade
© 2007-2025

Recommended Stories

What to Pay Attention to on May 22? A Breakdown of Fundamental Events for Beginners

There are several important macroeconomic reports scheduled for release on Thursday. Business activity indexes for May's services and manufacturing sectors will be released in Germany, the Eurozone, the United Kingdom

Paolo Greco 06:31 2025-05-22 UTC+2

The Bank of England to Slow Down the Pace of Policy Easing

The Bank of England recently cut interest rates for the second time in 2025, justifying its decision with slowing inflation and steady movement toward the target level. But no sooner

Chin Zhao 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

The Dollar Sawed Off the Branch It Was Sitting On

Can the euro be considered a strong currency? I have significant doubts about that. An independent group of economic advisors to Friedrich Merz forecasts that the German economy will enter

Marek Petkovich 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

The Yen Goes on a Buyer Strike

A collapse in confidence in the U.S. dollar, rumors of coordinated currency intervention, and capital repatriation to Japan are driving USD/JPY back into a downtrend. The music playing

Marek Petkovich 00:05 2025-05-22 UTC+2

EUR/USD: Continued Weakness in the U.S. Dollar

The four-week-long southern impulse we saw in EUR/USD has fully faded. Last week, sellers pushed the pair to a monthly low at 1.1066, but then seemed to "fear their

Irina Manzenko 18:59 2025-05-21 UTC+2

High Inflation Supports the Pound. GBP/USD Outlook

The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose from 2.6% to 3.5% in April, surprising the market, which had expected an increase to 3.3%. The core CPI also exceeded forecasts

Kuvat Raharjo 18:47 2025-05-21 UTC+2

USD/CAD. Analysis and Forecast

The USD/CAD pair is attracting sellers for the third consecutive day. A break below the 1.3900 level signals increased selling pressure, which could lead to further downside. Rising oil prices—driven

Irina Yanina 18:41 2025-05-21 UTC+2

USD/CHF. Analysis and Forecast

For the third consecutive day, the USD/CHF pair continues to lose ground. The fundamental backdrop suggests that the path of least resistance remains to the downside. The pair has been

Irina Yanina 18:38 2025-05-21 UTC+2

GBP/JPY. Analysis and Forecast

Following the release of UK consumer inflation data, which came in above expectations, the GBP/JPY pair slightly pared back its intraday losses. However, it failed to attract significant buying interest

Irina Yanina 11:25 2025-05-21 UTC+2

Will Global Central Banks Continue to Cut Interest Rates? (Bitcoin May Resume Growth and USD/JPY May Decline)

Among the economically developed nations—those that belong to the Western wing of the global economy—there is an important rule: a target of 2% inflation, specifically consumer inflation. Achieving this target

Pati Gani 09:46 2025-05-21 UTC+2
Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
 

Dear visitor,

Your IP address shows that you are currently located in the USA. If you are a resident of the United States, you are prohibited from using the services of InstaFintech Group including online trading, online transfers, deposit/withdrawal of funds, etc.

If you think you are seeing this message by mistake and your location is not the US, kindly proceed to the website. Otherwise, you must leave the website in order to comply with government restrictions.

Why does your IP address show your location as the USA?

  • - you are using a VPN provided by a hosting company based in the United States;
  • - your IP does not have proper WHOIS records;
  • - an error occurred in the WHOIS geolocation database.

Please confirm whether you are a US resident or not by clicking the relevant button below. If you choose the wrong option, being a US resident, you will not be able to open an account with InstaTrade anyway.

We are sorry for any inconvenience caused by this message.