02.04.2025 01:22 PM
隨著投資者對美國總統特朗普激進貿易政策及其對全球經濟的影響保持擔憂，黃金持續上漲。此外，持續的地緣政治緊張局勢為這一避險資產提供了關鍵的助力。然而，在關鍵的關稅相關公告發布前，黃金多頭應該保持謹慎。
來自美國的近期宏觀經濟數據引發了對潛在滯脹的擔憂。製造業採購經理指數（PMI）下降至49，表明商業活動的收縮，這對經濟來說是一個令人擔憂的信號。與此同時，美聯儲降息的預期也支持了黃金需求，使其更具吸引力。
從技術角度來看，昨日從歷史高位回落至接近3100美元區域，該區域目前充當支撐。不過，由於相對強弱指數（RSI）處於超買區域，預計短期內可能會出現整固或小幅回調，以便進一步上行。
跌破3100美元水平將打開通往周低點3076美元的道路，隨後可能會移至突破點3057美元。下行趨勢可能進一步延伸至3035美元支撐，心理上重要的3000美元關口則是一個主要障礙。跌破此關鍵水平可能會讓空頭佔據上風。
儘管如此，對於貴金屬而言，最小阻力路徑仍為上行，只要日圖振盪指標繼續堅定地保持在正區域，一些整固依然可能。
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