澳元已經突破0.6273到0.6351的整固範圍。若在0.6273之下鞏固,可能會導致目標為0.6196(MACD線)。然而,考慮到美元的疲弱,這種情況似乎不太可能。澳元的下跌主要是由於商品價格的下跌所驅動;然而,如果美元持續大幅且長期下跌,僅靠商品價格可能不足以拉升商品貨幣。
Marlin振盪器進入看跌區域,暗示圍繞零線的區間震盪(由灰色矩形所示)。因此,在主要情境下,預期價格將反彈至0.6351。
重要的是,在四小時圖上,價格尚未在區間的下邊界之下鞏固。在這種情況下,Marlin 指標進入負區域可能是一個錯誤信號。突破 MACD 線 0.6296 以上的水平可能會促使振盪指標進入增長區域,為向區間的上邊界推進鋪平道路。
截至週五,美元/加元匯率連續第二天承壓,這是由多種負面因素所引發的。 昨日,美國的宏觀經濟數據弱於預期,強化了市場對美聯儲進一步降息的預期,令美元多頭處於守勢。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
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