藍色線- 費氏回撤位
美元指數在彈升至61.8%的費氏回撤位後,正在103.55左右交投。在之前的文章中,我們提到了61.8%的費氏回撤位的重要性,以及該回撤位反轉趨勢的頻率增加。美元指數可能已經形成了一個重要低點。主要逆轉的可能性很高,價格正在從102.53的關鍵支撐位反彈。最近的價格行動證實了61.8%費氏位的重要性。從技術上看,趨勢仍然是看跌的,因為價格尚未突破之前的較低高點。相對強弱指標(RSI)正在從超賣水平上升。有越來越大的機會指出,美元指數的新上升浪潮正在展開。多頭不希望看到價格再次跌破102.53。
在昨日相對平靜的市場中,儘管歐洲和美國發布了各種經濟數據,歐元依然上漲了13個點。至少,這確認了單一貨幣繼續上漲的意圖。
週五可能會標誌著連續第四天出現看跌(黑色)日K線。上次出現這種模式是在2月3日至6日。
在過去的四天中,價格未能突破1.4010的阻力位,但也沒有做出太多嘗試。昨天,價格在平衡線與1.4010水準的交叉處反轉。
比特幣在 102,698 水平以上的七天整合似乎即將結束。我們正在等待 Marlin 振盪指標的最終確認,它需要從其上升通道的下邊界反彈。
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