ECB Governing Council member Joachim Nagel said the central bank may be approaching the final stage of its historical cycle of interest rate hikes.
The head of the Bundesbank stated on Wednesday that even though the cost of borrowing has not yet finished rising, and core inflation still needs to be reined in, the results of the ECB's tight monetary policy are already satisfying.
"I am confident that monetary policy is showing its effect," Nagel commented.
EUR/USD also gained over 15,000 pips since the end of last year, and signs of a slowdown are emerging.
Nagel's remarks also align with the majority of economists who believe that the ECB will raise the deposit rate twice more, in June and July, leaving it at a peak of 3.75%. Meanwhile, the Governor of the Bank of Greece, Yannis Stournaras, stated that the ECB's rate hikes would stop in 2023. Martins Kazaks from Latvia said that rate hikes could continue even after July.
Nagel characterized last week's decision to slow the pace of tightening while announcing an end to reinvestments under the Asset Purchase Program as the right step, although he emphasized that the job is not yet done.
今天,這對貨幣對正試圖守住1.1625 的水平,接近100天SMA。持續的美國政府停擺對美元兌單一歐元貨幣的匯率產生負面影響。
今天星期四,歐元/英鎊貨幣對接近0.8700的整數關口。在預期法國總統馬克龍將在未來48小時內任命新總理的背景下,歐元兌英鎊走強。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在週二和週三的交易中普遍走低,不斷下降,幾乎沒有大的中斷,即使是在夜間。這種下跌迅速且持續。
對歐元的需求持續下降,但從我的角度來看,這沒有什麼值得擔憂的。我們都希望看到理想的波浪形態或完美的技術設置,以提供明確的進場機會和穩定的利潤。
週三,歐元兌美元組合嘗試突破至1.15範圍,測試1.1610的支撐位。在此價格點,Kumo雲的下邊界與日線時間範圍內的上邊緣及布林帶線重合。
在法國的政治危機和德國工業生產大幅下降的背景下,歐元的需求持續下降。依我看,目前市場並未完全考慮所有可用因素,但我們假設它正在逐一定價。
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