EURUSD
The latest U.S. inflation reports showed a clear decline in inflation.
In particular, on Wednesday, January 18, the Producer Price Index wholesale price growth fell 0.5% compared to November.
A week earlier the retail prices showed a -0.1% decline.
In parallel, economic indicators are declining - retail sales fell in December, -1.1%, the second consecutive month of declining sales. The real estate market is falling - new construction. Industrial activity has been declining for two straight months. This boosted investors' hopes of a slowdown in the Federal Reserve's rate-hikes and a stock market rise of about +5% since the beginning of the year.
Recently, however, several Fed officials have said that the US central bank should continue to hike rates, by +0.25% in early February. And by the end of the year, bring the rate up to 5.00 - 5.25% from the current 4.00 - 4.25%.
This caused the euro to fall from its high on Wednesday. However, the euro will probably try to go to 1.1000 again, but that is probably a profitable area to start selling.
黃金今天維持著看跌的基調,儘管它已從日內低點略微回升,重新攀升至3300美元之上。 投資者依然寄望美中貿易戰有可能緩和的希望,這支撐了股票市場的正面情緒。
週四,英鎊/美元貨幣對上漲,接近其三年高點。儘管英鎊近幾個月來強勢反彈,但外匯市場上的修正仍然罕見。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對繼續平穩交易,儘管波動性仍然相對較高。這週,美國美元顯示了一些復甦的跡象——這已經可以算是一次成功。
上週公佈的全國消費者物價指數顯示,3月份的核心通脹率從2.6%加速至2.9%。通脹壓力正在加大,支持日本央行進一步加息的理由。
上週,加拿大央行如預期般將利率維持在2.75%不變。隨附的聲明措辭中性,強調持續的不確定性。
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