The US dollar index rallied close to 105.00 intraday on Friday, inching closer to 105.50 as a near-term projected target. The index is seen to be trading close to 104.90 at this point in writing as bulls remain poised to push further higher. Ideally, prices should stay above the 103.50-60 zone to keep the bullish structure intact in the near term.
The US dollar index has potentially carved a meaningful bottom at about 103.05 around mid-December 2022 as seen on the 4H chart here. Prices managed to rally above the 104.50 initial resistance after carving a higher low around 103.12. If the above structure holds well, prices could continue rallying towards 105.50, 107.00, and higher in the next few trading sessions.
The trading instrument has either completed its larger-degree corrective drop at 103.05 or is still wanting to continue lower towards 102.00. Either way, prices are expected to produce a counter-trend rally at least towards 107.00 and up to the 110.00-50 area before the instrument decides on a further direction. We shall revise our trading plan at around 107.00 going forward.
Potential rally against 102.00
Good luck!
歐元/美元貨幣對在周三的一半時間內出現了上升趨勢。雖然這次歐元的最新「激增」尤其「令人印象深刻」,但很可能只是美元的又一次下跌。
EUR/USD 貨幣對在週三繼續上行,但僅是短暫的。在下午時段,歐元開始下跌,儘管缺乏支持此類變動的宏觀經濟因素。
週二,英鎊/美元貨幣對經歷了顯著增長,儘管背後並無明確的推動因素。週一,美元因為特定原因走強,但週二卻毫無原因地下跌,只因為這就是美元。
週二,英鎊兌美元貨幣對輕鬆從週一的損失中恢復過來。我們再次觀察到,英鎊上漲的幅度比歐元大,下降時更為溫和。
歐元/美元貨幣對輕鬆收復了週一的大部分失地。週一有報導稱,中美之間的進口關稅已經降低,這可以合理地看作是貿易戰降溫的跡象。
週一,英鎊/美元組合也大幅下跌,不過更準確的說法是美元顯示出強勁的增長。近幾個月來,幾乎所有市場的波動都與美元有關。
週一,歐元/美元貨幣對大幅下跌。交易者可能已經習慣於美國美元無法顯著增長的想法,但我們曾警告,如果貿易戰的升級出現逆轉,美元將升值。
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