EUR/USD broke through 1.0670 intraday highs intraday on Tuesday before hitting resistance as projected. Bears came back strong thereafter, dragging prices through 1.0610-20 lows. The pair has recovered since then and is seen to be trading close to the 1.0645 mark at this point in writing. The near-term outlook remains unchanged with a bearish bias against the 1.0736 level.
EUR/USD's counter-trend rally looks complete at the 1.0736 mark as prices hit close to projected targets around 1.0750-50. The three-wave rally, which had begun from 0.9535 earlier, has further met trend line resistance as seen on the daily chart here. Furthermore, prices have met the Fibonacci 0.382 retracement around 1.0600, of the entire drop between 1.2266 and 0.9535.
EUR/USD could resume its larger degree downtrend against 1.0736 and drag further below 0.9535 in the next several weeks. On the flip side, prices could find support close to the 1.0000-100 zone and turn higher again. Either way, a high probability remains for a slip lower towards 1.0000 at least from current levels.
Potential bearish turn against 1.0750
Good luck!
週四,英鎊/美元的走勢與歐元/美元相似,或者更準確地說,應該是歐元/美元反映了英鎊/美元的走勢。當天的主要事件是英國央行會議。
週四,歐元/美元貨幣對在週三晚上的跌勢之後繼續下行,但我們認為這一走勢缺乏邏輯。如果仔細想想,週四歐元沒有下跌的理由,美元也沒有上漲的理由。
週三,GBP/USD 貨幣對持續上行,一直到晚上才有所變化。英鎊穩健且自信地持續上漲,並受到所有必要因素的支持。
英鎊/美元貨幣對也上漲,但表現較為平靜和熟悉。趨勢線仍然具有重要性,因此不論是短期還是長期,英鎊的進一步增長都是可以預期的。
週二,EUR/USD 貨幣對持續上升。在小時圖中,清晰地顯示出一個新的看漲趨勢的形成,而在日線圖中,2025年的趨勢正式回歸。
在週二,歐元/美元貨幣對持續上漲,但這次漲勢更為強勁。週二發佈的報告對交易者並沒有起到重要作用。
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